Read e-book online A simulation approach to the study of human fertility PDF

By Gigi Santow (auth.)

ISBN-10: 1461340896

ISBN-13: 9781461340898

ISBN-10: 9020707655

ISBN-13: 9789020707656

This publication is an amended and slightly shorter model of my doctoral thesis which I submitted to the Australian nationwide college in 1976, and accordingly edited on the Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute in 1977. The paintings falls clearly into elements. the 1st is worried with the development and validation of a version, and the second one with its program as an experimental software. within the first half, comprising Chapters One to 4, an exam of historic and modern versions of inhabitants progress resulted in the choice to review alterations in fertility by way of a organic micro simulation version. the explanations assisting the alternative of this type of version have been mentioned, and a seek of the literature produced the information for use as version enter. the consequences of various the enter have been tested after which the version output used to be demonstrated opposed to Hutterite info. the most emphasis of the second one a part of the paintings, comprising Chapters 5 to Seven, used to be the checking out of the impact at the fertility of 1 society of adaptations within the length of the publish partum interval of non-susceptibility to belief, and within the point of baby and baby mortality. extra simulations have been played to find the effect on fertility of using birth control to realize assorted kinfolk sizes, either with and with no the extra impact of youngster and baby mortality.

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Extra info for A simulation approach to the study of human fertility

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4 Rocket al. (1939) found that of 392 women who complained of sterility, nine per cent showed evidence of at least occasional anovulatory menstruation, and these women were in the 20-34 age group. Recognising such obstacles to the accurate measurement of fecundability, Vincent's findings were that fecundability ranged most commonly 3. For more sophisticated models which link coitus with fecundability see Lachenbruch (1967) and Barrett (1971c). 4. Holmberg (1970), p. 26. 3. He considered that fecundability doubled between the ages of 15 and 25 with the greatest increase occurring up to the age of 19.

Shapiro and Abramowicz (1969) considered that the lack of data on the frequency of the failure of implantation (unrecognised abortion) seriously restricts the accuracy of measures offoetalloss, particularly in the first two months of pregnancy' (p. 1632).

5). Foetal deaths are divided into three categories: early foetal deaths at less than 20 completed weeks of gestation, intermediate foetal deaths at 20 but less than 28 weeks, and late foetal deaths at 28 weeks or more (p. 6). This last group is comprised of all stillbirths. The term 'abortion' denotes the termination of a pregnancy before the foetus has become 'capable of 8. See Suchindran and Lachenbruch (1975). 9. See Bongaarts (1975). THE PROBABILITY OF CONCEPTION 51 independent extra-uterine life'.

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A simulation approach to the study of human fertility by Gigi Santow (auth.)

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